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Antifragile Series #14: The Power of Experimental Living

Writer's picture: Murali ThondebhaviMurali Thondebhavi

Updated: Jan 12


In a sunlit Berkeley laboratory in 2012, Dr. Jennifer Doudna stared at yet another failed experiment. It was the latest in hundreds of attempts to understand how bacteria defend themselves against viruses – a project that seemed increasingly futile. But this particular failure was different. Hidden in the disappointing results was a pattern that would eventually revolutionise genetic engineering and earn her a Nobel Prize.





"Every failed experiment was a step forward," Doudna would later reflect. "We just didn't know it at the time."


The journey to CRISPR, now considered one of the most important discoveries in biological science, reveals a counterintuitive truth about innovation: breakthrough success often emerges not from careful planning but from rapid, iterative experimentation. Each "failure" in Doudna and her colleague Dr. Emmanuelle Charpentier's work provided crucial data points that gradually illuminated the path forward.





This pattern of small experiments leading to outsized results isn't unique to scientific research. When Jeff Lawson was building Twilio in 2008, he noticed that his most successful teams weren't those with the most detailed plans – they were the ones running the most experiments. One team even developed an unusual ritual: writing press releases for their potential failures before starting new projects.


"The key wasn't avoiding failure," Lawson explains. "It was making failure cheap, fast, and educational."


Why Experimentation Matters More Than Ever


In our rapidly changing world, traditional planning often fails us. The COVID-19 pandemic demonstrated how quickly established systems can crumble. Those who thrived weren't necessarily the best-prepared, but rather those most adaptable to change. This adaptability comes from having a well-developed experimental mindset.


The Three Pillars of Practical Experimentation


  1. Low-Cost Trials

Consider how venture capitalists approach investments. Instead of betting everything on one "perfect" opportunity, they create portfolios of small experiments. The successful ones are scaled up, while failures provide valuable market insights at minimal cost. [Reference: Peter Thiel, "Zero to One," 2014]


  1. Rapid Feedback Loops

Netflix's famous A/B testing system runs thousands of small experiments annually, from thumbnail designs to content recommendations. Each test provides immediate data, allowing quick adjustments and improvements. [Reference: Netflix Technology Blog, "A/B Testing and Beyond," 2022]


  1. Systematic Learning Capture

Toyota's Kaizen system requires workers to document not just successes but also "near misses" and failures, creating a vast knowledge database that prevents repeated mistakes. [Reference: Jeffrey Liker, "The Toyota Way," 2004]

 

 

Practical Applications for Everyday Life


  1. Financial Management:

    - Start with "money experiments" using 5% of your disposable income

    - Test different investment strategies with small amounts

    Example: One investor tested micro-investments in various cryptocurrencies with Rs 5000 each, leading to identification of promising opportunities before making larger commitments

 

  1. Career Development:

    - Run "side-hustle experiments" while maintaining your main job

    - Test new skills through volunteer projects

    Case Study: Sarah Blakely tested Spanx prototypes while selling fax machines, minimizing career risk while developing her billion-dollar idea [Reference: Forbes profile, 2012]

 

  1. Relationships:

    - Experiment with communication styles

    - Test different approaches to conflict resolution

    Real Example: The Gottman Institute's research shows couples who try different approaches to arguments, rather than sticking to one pattern, have more successful relationships [Reference: John Gottman, "The Seven Principles for Making Marriage Work," 1999]

 

Building Antifragility Through Experimentation

 

  1. Stress Exposure

Small, controlled experiments create manageable stress that strengthens systems. Like weight training for muscles, regular exposure to minor challenges builds resilience.

 

  1. Options Generation

Each experiment creates new possibilities. When Amazon tested selling books online, it discovered opportunities in cloud computing (AWS), which now generates most of its profit. [Reference: Brad Stone, "The Everything Store," 2013]

 

  1. Knowledge Accumulation

Failed experiments build an invaluable database of what doesn't work, preventing larger failures later.

 

 

Simple Implementation Strategies


  • The Daily Experiment:

Choose one small change each day

Document results in a simple journal

Review weekly for patterns

 

  • The Weekly Challenge:

Select one area for focused experimentation

Run three micro-tests

Share learnings with a accountability partner

 

  • The Monthly Review:

Analyze experiment results

Identify successful patterns

Scale up what works

 

 

Measuring Your Experimental Success


  • Learning Velocity:

How quickly do you implement insights?

What's your ratio of experiments to useful learnings?

 

 

  • Recovery Speed:

How fast do you bounce back from failed experiments?

Are your failures getting less costly over time?

 

 

  • Innovation Rate:

How many new approaches do you test monthly?

What percentage lead to improved outcomes?

 

Building an Experimental Culture


Whether in a family, team, or organisation:

  • Celebrate learning attempts, not just successes

  • Create safe spaces for sharing failed experiments

  • Develop systems for capturing and sharing insights

  • Allocate resources specifically for experimentation

 

The Path to Antifragility


Regular experimentation creates systems that don't just survive disruption but grow stronger from it.


Each small test builds:

  • Adaptability to change

  • Multiple backup options

  • Deep practical knowledge

  • Confidence in facing uncertainty

 

Conclusion


Action Steps:

  1. Choose your first experimental area

  2. Design three micro-tests

  3. Set up a simple learning capture system

  4. Schedule weekly review time

  5. Find an accountability partner


As we face increasingly complex challenges in technology, climate change, and social innovation, this lesson becomes more crucial. The solutions we need won't come from perfect planning but from imperfect experimentation – from the willingness to try, fail, learn, and try again.


The question isn't whether you'll fail; it's whether you'll fail in a way that moves you forward.


As Doudna's CRISPR breakthrough demonstrates, your next great discovery might be hidden in your next small experiment.


Remember: The goal isn't perfect execution, but perfect practice in learning from imperfect attempts.


What will you test first?


Till next week...

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